How TikTok's Recommender Algorithm Decides What Goes Viral

Research conducted as a Research Analyst at Saint Mary's University, studying the signals TikTok's recommendation system weighs most heavily when deciding which videos reach a mass audience versus which stall at a small one. The write-up looks at engagement-velocity patterns in the first hours after posting and how strongly they predict eventual reach, compared against content-level features alone.

TikTok reach archetype clustering chart